Application of modeling to Baltic environmental monitoring design

No abstracts are to be cited without prior reference to the author.

Paper investigates possible solution to the problem of estimation of the pollution of some marine sub-area by a passive impurity by introducing the sensitivity function that specifies the contribution of each point at the surface to the total pollution of marine sub-area concerned. Backward simulation for the period of time of July – April 1995 and 2003 was carried out in order to analyze the spatial-temporal dynamics of the sensitivity function values at surface and bottom for the Baltic Sea in relation to the Kõpu 'protected area' (Hiiumaa Island, Estonia). Backward modeling based evaluation of the 'impact sub-areas' for the most important 'protected areas' can contribute to the further enhancement of the positioning of the marine monitoring stations, and can add the dynamic dimension to the interpretation of the marine environmental monitoring data.