Communicating uncertainty in policy advice: The case for fisheries quota advice based on confidence intervals

Dankel, Dorothy J.; Aanes, Sondre; Vølstad, Jon Helge

doi:10.17895/ices.pub.24752418.v1

G1114.pdf (134.47 kB)

Communicating uncertainty in policy advice: The case for fisheries quota advice based on confidence intervals

conference contribution

posted on 2023-12-18, 10:46 authored by Dorothy J. Dankel, Sondre Aanes, Jon Helge Vølstad

No abstracts are to be cited without prior reference to the author.

The current harvest control rule (HCR) for Northeast Arctic cod depends on point estimates of the size of the spawning stock biomass (SSB) and fishing mortality (F). We make a case for an alternative formulation of the HCR that uses confidence intervals that accurately describe the underlying data.

History

Symposia

2014 ICES Annual Science Conference, A Coruña, Spain

Session

Theme Session G: Practical advice for implementing marine policy: combining ecosystem and societal indicators in stock and ecosystem assessments

Abstract reference

G:11

Recommended citation

[Authors]. 2014. Communicating uncertainty in policy advice: The case for fisheries quota advice based on confidence intervals. 2014 ICES Annual Science Conference, A Coruña, Spain. CM 2014/G:11. https://doi.org/10.17895/ices.pub.24752418