EU–Norway request to ICES on increasing the 2014 TAC for cod in the North Sea – Additional reply to part of the original request
ICES advises that a 10% increase in the North Sea cod TAC in 2014 (with respect to the TAC in 2013) can be considered precautionary if followed by implementation of the existing long term management plan and if catches are constrained so that discard rates do not increase and landings do not exceed the TAC. The evaluation indicates that in this scenario the fishing mortality would be slightly above FMSY in 2015 and achievement of FMSY (with 50% probability) would be expected for 2017.
The 10% TAC increase scenario corresponds to a substantial reduction in the cod fishing mortality in 2014. Achieving this reduction in fishing mortality will require that effort limitations or equivalent cod avoidance measures are implemented in addition to the TAC constraint on landings. This reduction is essential in order to be able to consider the scenario as precautionary.
Published under the auspices of the following ICES Steering Group or Committee