International Council for the Exploration of the Sea
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EU request to ICES on the effect of increased quota flexibility in 2015–2016 on Baltic herring and sprat

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posted on 2022-05-23, 08:19 authored by ICESICES

The proposed flexibility for Baltic pelagic stocks would, if utilized, result in reduced F in 2015 and the transfer of fishing possibilities to 2016 will result in an increase in F in 2016 of a similar magnitude to the flexibility (approximately +20% or +30%) if these are fully utilized. Thus it is expected that F in 2015 will have a greater than 50% probability of being below FMSY and F in 2016 will have a greater than 50% probability of being above FMSY. It is expected that the mean F over the two years will be similar to the F that would result from 100% of each annual TAC being taken in its respective year and it is likely to have a slightly positive, but effectively negligible impact on precautionary biomass considerations defined by the probability of SSB< Blim during the two years.


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ICES Advice: Technical services

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